Estimation of Parameters in the SIR Model Using a Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm

Publikation: Beiträge in SammelwerkenAufsätze in KonferenzbändenForschungbegutachtet

Authors

The paper deals with the estimation of parameters in the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model of infectious disease transmission in populations using an algorithm based on a Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) method. The used model in this contribution is based on the dynamics of predator and prey populations. A possible model is represented by the Lotka-Volterra model which is used in such kinds of competitive ecosystems. SIR models can be considered as a particular form of Lotka-Volterra models, in which susceptible and infected people represent the prey and predator. The main contribution of this investigation consists of showing how the model can reflect the real data using a low number of compartments in case the model parameters are estimated adaptively using an optimal procedure. A PSO method is used in a receding horizon window-like structure to estimate these parameters. The procedure is validated using real values of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany, demonstrating a close matching.

OriginalspracheEnglisch
TitelAdvances in Data-Driven Computing and Intelligent Systems - Selected Papers from ADCIS 2023
HerausgeberSwagatam Das, Snehanshu Saha, Carlos A. Coello Coello, Hemant Rathore, Jagdish Chand Bansal
Anzahl der Seiten11
VerlagSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Erscheinungsdatum2024
Seiten157-167
ISBN (Print)978-981-99-9530-1
ISBN (elektronisch)978-981-99-9531-8
DOIs
PublikationsstatusErschienen - 2024
Veranstaltung2nd International Conference on Advances in Data-driven Computing and Intelligent Systems - ADCIS 2023 - BITS Pilani, Indien
Dauer: 21.09.202323.09.2023
Konferenznummer: 2
https://scrs.in/conference/adcis23

Bibliographische Notiz

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2024.

DOI

Zuletzt angesehen

Publikationen

  1. Einleitung: Sozialpolitik als Geschlechterpolitik - Geschlechterpolitik als Sozialpolitik
  2. Composition and origin of plagioclase, pyroxene, and olivine clasts in Fra Mauro breccias
  3. Überzeugungen zu Sprache im Fachunterricht: Erhebungsinstrument und Skalendokumentation
  4. Towards a more sustainable metal use – Lessons learned from national strategy documents
  5. Online CSR communication by listed companies: a factor for enthusiasm or disappointment?
  6. Mismatches in the ecosystem services-wellbeing nexus: a case study for Chilean Patagonia
  7. Microstructure and mechanical properties of Mg-3Sn-1Ca reinforced with AlN nano-particles
  8. If you call for frameworks in sustainability management... editorial to the special issue
  9. Dispersal and diversity–unifying scale-dependent relationships within the neutral theory
  10. Die nachhaltigen Zwillinge: Keine soziale Gerechtigkeit ohne ökologische Gerechtigkeit
  11. Die Lüneburger Ziegelrohstoffe und ihre Bedeutung für die historische Ziegelproduktion
  12. Bryophytes and organic layers control uptake of airborne nitrogen in low-N environments
  13. Bestimmung von Pflanzenschutzmitteln im Stammablaufwasser von Buchen (Fagus Sylvatica L.)
  14. Assessment of pharmaceutical waste management at selected hospitals and homes in Ghana
  15. Voraussetzungen eines Anspruchs auf Zahlung einer Pauschale i.S.v. § 288 Abs. 5 Satz 1 BGB
  16. University-linked programmes for sustainable entrepreneurship and regional development
  17. Understanding the socio-technical aspects of low-code adoption for software development
  18. Photodegradation of the UV filter ethylhexyl methoxycinnamate under ultraviolet light
  19. Learning in environmental governance: opportunities for translating theory to practice
  20. Krieg im Namen Gottes? Die Rezeption der Lehre vom gerechten Krieg bei Johannes Calvin
  21. Intentionale vs. emergente Strategien der Online-Kommunikation von Gründungsunternehmen
  22. How and Why Different Forms of Expertise Moderate Anchor Precision in Price Decisions
  23. Governance Challenges at the Interface of Food Security and Biodiversity Conservation
  24. Exports and Firm Survival in Times of COVID-19 - Evidence from Eight European Countries
  25. Elementary school children contribute to environmental research as citizen scientists
  26. Do We Need to Use an Accountant? The Sales Growth and Survival Benefits to Family SMEs
  27. A stakeholder theory perspective on business models: Value creation for sustainability
  28. Bewertung von sonstigen langfristigen Rückstellungen nach dem RÄG 2014 und AbgÄG 2014
  29. Ambient Intelligence and Knowledge Processing in Distributed Autonomous AAL-Components