Estimation of Parameters in the SIR Model Using a Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm

Publikation: Beiträge in SammelwerkenAufsätze in KonferenzbändenForschungbegutachtet

Authors

The paper deals with the estimation of parameters in the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model of infectious disease transmission in populations using an algorithm based on a Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) method. The used model in this contribution is based on the dynamics of predator and prey populations. A possible model is represented by the Lotka-Volterra model which is used in such kinds of competitive ecosystems. SIR models can be considered as a particular form of Lotka-Volterra models, in which susceptible and infected people represent the prey and predator. The main contribution of this investigation consists of showing how the model can reflect the real data using a low number of compartments in case the model parameters are estimated adaptively using an optimal procedure. A PSO method is used in a receding horizon window-like structure to estimate these parameters. The procedure is validated using real values of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany, demonstrating a close matching.

OriginalspracheEnglisch
TitelAdvances in Data-Driven Computing and Intelligent Systems - Selected Papers from ADCIS 2023
HerausgeberSwagatam Das, Snehanshu Saha, Carlos A. Coello Coello, Hemant Rathore, Jagdish Chand Bansal
Anzahl der Seiten11
VerlagSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland
Erscheinungsdatum2024
Seiten157-167
ISBN (Print)978-981-99-9530-1
ISBN (elektronisch)978-981-99-9531-8
DOIs
PublikationsstatusErschienen - 2024
Veranstaltung2nd International Conference on Advances in Data-driven Computing and Intelligent Systems - ADCIS 2023 - BITS Pilani, Indien
Dauer: 21.09.202323.09.2023
Konferenznummer: 2
https://scrs.in/conference/adcis23

Bibliographische Notiz

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2024.

DOI

Zuletzt angesehen

Publikationen

  1. ACL–adaptive correction of learning parameters for backpropagation based algorithms
  2. Throttle valve control using an inverse local linear model tree based on a Fuzzy neural network
  3. Set-oriented numerical computation of rotation sets
  4. Using Natural Language Processing Techniques to Tackle the Construct Identity Problem in Information Systems Research
  5. Modelling tasks—The relation between linguistic skills, intra-mathematical skills, and context-related prior knowledge
  6. Algebraic combinatorics in mathematical chemistry. Methods and algorithms. I. Permutation groups and coherent (cellular) algebras.
  7. Ant colony optimization algorithm and artificial immune system applied to a robot route
  8. Modelling the Complexity of Measurement Estimation Situations - A Theoretical Framework for the Estimation of Lengths
  9. Emergency detection based on probabilistic modeling in AAL environments
  10. Long-term memory predictors of adult language learning at the interface between syntactic form and meaning
  11. Human–learning–machines: introduction to a special section on how cybernetics and constructivism inspired new forms of learning
  12. Fast, Fully Automated Analysis of Voriconazole from Serum by LC-LC-ESI-MS-MS with Parallel Column-Switching Technique
  13. Using learning protocols for knowledge acquisition and problem solving with individual and group incentives
  14. Predicting the Difficulty of Exercise Items for Dynamic Difficulty Adaptation in Adaptive Language Tutoring
  15. An Orthogonal Wavelet Denoising Algorithm for Surface Images of Atomic Force Microscopy
  16. Efficient Order Picking Methods in Robotic Mobile Fulfillment Systems
  17. Constructs for Assessing Integrated Reports-Testing the Predictive Validity of a Taxonomy for Organization Size, Industry, and Performance
  18. Simple saturated relay non-linear PD control for uncertain motion systems with friction and actuator constraint
  19. Need Satisfaction and Optimal Functioning at Leisure and Work: A Longitudinal Validation Study of the DRAMMA Model
  20. Scholarly Question Answering Using Large Language Models in the NFDI4DataScience Gateway
  21. Web-scale extension of RDF knowledge bases from templated websites
  22. Stability analysis of a linear model predictive control and its application in a water recovery process
  23. Multilevel bridge governor by using model predictive control in wavelet packets for tracking trajectories
  24. Teachers’ temporary support and worked-out examples as elements of scaffolding in mathematical modeling
  25. Nonlinear PD fault-tolerant control for dynamic positioning of ships with actuator constraints
  26. TARGET SETTING FOR OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE IMPROVEMENTS - STUDY CASE -
  27. The temporal pattern of creativity and implementation in teams
  28. Governing Objects from a Distance
  29. Noninteracting optimal and adaptive torque control using an online parameter estimation with help of polynomials in EKF for a PMSM
  30. Sensor Fusion for Power Line Sensitive Monitoring and Load State Estimation
  31. Construct- and criterion-related validity of the German Core Self-Evaluations Scale
  32. Participatory energy scenario development as dramatic scripting
  33. Failing and the perception of failure in student-driven transdisciplinary projects
  34. Bridging the Gap: Generating a Comprehensive Biomedical Knowledge Graph Question Answering Dataset
  35. IWRM through WFD implementation? Drivers for integration in polycentric water governance systems
  36. On the computation of the warping function and the torsional properties of thin-walled crosssections of prismatic beams
  37. Action Errors, Error Management, and Learning in Organizations
  38. Optimal trajectory generation for camless internal combustion engine valve control