Action rate models for predicting actions in soccer
Research output: Journal contributions › Journal articles › Research › peer-review
Authors
We present a data-driven approach to predict the next action in soccer. We focus on passing actions of the ball possessing player and aim to forecast the pass itself and when, in time, the pass will be played. At the same time, our model estimates the probability that the player loses possession of the ball before she can perform the action. Our approach consists of parameterized exponential rate models for all possible actions that are adapted to historic data with graph recurrent neural networks to account for inter-dependencies of the output space (i.e., the possible actions). We report on empirical results.
Original language | English |
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Journal | AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis |
Volume | 107 |
Issue number | 1-2 |
Pages (from-to) | 29-49 |
Number of pages | 21 |
ISSN | 1863-8171 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 02.03.2022 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:
© 2022, The Author(s).
- Informatics
- Actions, Elite sports, Football, Game flow, GRNNs, Rate models, Soccer analytics
- Business informatics