Action rate models for predicting actions in soccer
Publikation: Beiträge in Zeitschriften › Zeitschriftenaufsätze › Forschung › begutachtet
Authors
We present a data-driven approach to predict the next action in soccer. We focus on passing actions of the ball possessing player and aim to forecast the pass itself and when, in time, the pass will be played. At the same time, our model estimates the probability that the player loses possession of the ball before she can perform the action. Our approach consists of parameterized exponential rate models for all possible actions that are adapted to historic data with graph recurrent neural networks to account for inter-dependencies of the output space (i.e., the possible actions). We report on empirical results.
Originalsprache | Englisch |
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Zeitschrift | AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis |
Jahrgang | 107 |
Ausgabenummer | 1-2 |
Seiten (von - bis) | 29-49 |
Anzahl der Seiten | 21 |
ISSN | 1863-8171 |
DOIs | |
Publikationsstatus | Erschienen - 02.03.2022 |
Bibliographische Notiz
Funding Information:
We would like to thank Hendrik Weber as well as DFL and Sportec Solutions for providing the data for this study.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2022, The Author(s).
- Informatik
- Actions, Elite sports, Football, GRNNs, Game flow, Rate models, Soccer analytics
- Wirtschaftsinformatik