Action rate models for predicting actions in soccer
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Action rate models for predicting actions in soccer. / Dick, Uwe; Brefeld, Ulf.
In: AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Vol. 107, No. 1-2, 02.03.2022, p. 29-49.Research output: Journal contributions › Journal articles › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Action rate models for predicting actions in soccer
AU - Dick, Uwe
AU - Brefeld, Ulf
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2022, The Author(s).
PY - 2022/3/2
Y1 - 2022/3/2
N2 - We present a data-driven approach to predict the next action in soccer. We focus on passing actions of the ball possessing player and aim to forecast the pass itself and when, in time, the pass will be played. At the same time, our model estimates the probability that the player loses possession of the ball before she can perform the action. Our approach consists of parameterized exponential rate models for all possible actions that are adapted to historic data with graph recurrent neural networks to account for inter-dependencies of the output space (i.e., the possible actions). We report on empirical results.
AB - We present a data-driven approach to predict the next action in soccer. We focus on passing actions of the ball possessing player and aim to forecast the pass itself and when, in time, the pass will be played. At the same time, our model estimates the probability that the player loses possession of the ball before she can perform the action. Our approach consists of parameterized exponential rate models for all possible actions that are adapted to historic data with graph recurrent neural networks to account for inter-dependencies of the output space (i.e., the possible actions). We report on empirical results.
KW - Informatics
KW - Actions
KW - Elite sports
KW - Football
KW - Game flow
KW - GRNNs
KW - Rate models
KW - Soccer analytics
KW - Actions
KW - Elite sports
KW - Football
KW - GRNNs
KW - Game flow
KW - Rate models
KW - Soccer analytics
KW - Business informatics
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85125542114&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/c725041f-72b8-3ca5-9e45-35599a6500d0/
U2 - 10.1007/s10182-022-00435-x
DO - 10.1007/s10182-022-00435-x
M3 - Journal articles
AN - SCOPUS:85125542114
VL - 107
SP - 29
EP - 49
JO - AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis
JF - AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis
SN - 1863-8171
IS - 1-2
ER -