Biophysical variability and politico-economic singularity: Responses of livestock numbers in South Mongolian nomadic pastoralism
Publikation: Beiträge in Zeitschriften › Zeitschriftenaufsätze › Forschung › begutachtet
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Biophysical variability and politico-economic singularity : Responses of livestock numbers in South Mongolian nomadic pastoralism. / Engler, John Oliver; Wesche, Karsten; Kaczensky, Petra et al.
in: Ecological Economics, Jahrgang 187, 107073, 01.09.2021.Publikation: Beiträge in Zeitschriften › Zeitschriftenaufsätze › Forschung › begutachtet
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Biophysical variability and politico-economic singularity
T2 - Responses of livestock numbers in South Mongolian nomadic pastoralism
AU - Engler, John Oliver
AU - Wesche, Karsten
AU - Kaczensky, Petra
AU - Dhakal, Prabesh
AU - Chuluunkhuyag, Oyundari
AU - von Wehrden, Henrik
N1 - Funding Information: The authors would like to thank the National Agency of Meteorology and Environmental Monitoring of Mongolia and the National Statistical Office of Mongolia for kindly providing precipitation and herd size data. In particular, JOE would like to thank Julian Ahlborn for providing the map shown in Fig. 1 , and for many helpful and illuminating discussions on nomadic herding in the study area. Neil French Collier and Jannik Schultner provided useful advice on statistical modeling issues. Research of HvW and KW was financed by the FWF (P18624) and German Science Foundation (DFG WE 2601/8-1), KW received additional support from German Federal Ministry of Science and Ecudation – project MoreStep within the BMBF BioTip framework (grant number 01LC1820C); JOE and HvW gratefully acknowledge financial support by the VolkswagenFoundation (grant number VWZN3188). Funding Information: The authors would like to thank the National Agency of Meteorology and Environmental Monitoring of Mongolia and the National Statistical Office of Mongolia for kindly providing precipitation and herd size data. In particular, JOE would like to thank Julian Ahlborn for providing the map shown in Fig. 1, and for many helpful and illuminating discussions on nomadic herding in the study area. Neil French Collier and Jannik Schultner provided useful advice on statistical modeling issues. Research of HvW and KW was financed by the FWF (P18624) and German Science Foundation (DFG WE 2601/8-1), KW received additional support from German Federal Ministry of Science and Ecudation ? project MoreStep within the BMBF BioTip framework (grant number 01LC1820C); JOE and HvW gratefully acknowledge financial support by the VolkswagenFoundation (grant number VWZN3188). Publisher Copyright: © 2021 Elsevier B.V.
PY - 2021/9/1
Y1 - 2021/9/1
N2 - We analyzed a unique data set of livestock numbers in the Mongolian southern Gobi. In a novel approach, we combined biophysical data on precipitation and pasture biomass productivity with data on fine wool prices from 1981 through 2015 to investigate dynamic patterns and responses of livestock numbers in Mongolia's southern Gobi. Using piecewise structural equation modeling enabled us to disentangle the effects of biophysical and politico-economic factors on livestock numbers and species composition, paying particular attention to the singular transition from centrally planned to free-market economy that happened in Mongolia in 1992. Our analysis reveals that biophysical and politico-economic factors were both important determinants of livestock numbers, and highlights the politico-economic singularity of 1992 as the single-largest driver of livestock dynamics in the period investigated.
AB - We analyzed a unique data set of livestock numbers in the Mongolian southern Gobi. In a novel approach, we combined biophysical data on precipitation and pasture biomass productivity with data on fine wool prices from 1981 through 2015 to investigate dynamic patterns and responses of livestock numbers in Mongolia's southern Gobi. Using piecewise structural equation modeling enabled us to disentangle the effects of biophysical and politico-economic factors on livestock numbers and species composition, paying particular attention to the singular transition from centrally planned to free-market economy that happened in Mongolia in 1992. Our analysis reveals that biophysical and politico-economic factors were both important determinants of livestock numbers, and highlights the politico-economic singularity of 1992 as the single-largest driver of livestock dynamics in the period investigated.
KW - Extreme Events, Piecewise Structural Equation Modeling
KW - Gobi
KW - Nomadic Herding
KW - Post-Soviet Mongolia
KW - Precipitation Variability
KW - Productivity
KW - Ecosystems Research
KW - Biology
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85105314492&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107073
DO - 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107073
M3 - Journal articles
AN - SCOPUS:85105314492
VL - 187
JO - Ecological Economics
JF - Ecological Economics
SN - 0921-8009
M1 - 107073
ER -