The changing relationship between unemployment and total fertility
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In: Population Studies, Vol. 72, No. 1, 02.01.2018, p. 109-121.
Research output: Journal contributions › Journal articles › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The changing relationship between unemployment and total fertility
AU - Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan
AU - Goldstein, Joshua R.
PY - 2018/1/2
Y1 - 2018/1/2
N2 - The aim of this paper is to investigate whether there has been a fundamental change in the relationship between economic conditions and fertility. We use panel data methods to study the short-term changes in total fertility and the unemployment rate in a range of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries from 1957 to 2014. We find that although fertility was counter-cyclical before 1970, with good economic times being associated with lower fertility, since then it has become pro-cyclical, with good economic times being associated with higher fertility.
AB - The aim of this paper is to investigate whether there has been a fundamental change in the relationship between economic conditions and fertility. We use panel data methods to study the short-term changes in total fertility and the unemployment rate in a range of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries from 1957 to 2014. We find that although fertility was counter-cyclical before 1970, with good economic times being associated with lower fertility, since then it has become pro-cyclical, with good economic times being associated with higher fertility.
KW - Sociology
KW - total fertility
KW - unemployment rate
KW - pro-cyclical
KW - counter-cyclical
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85041285576&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/00324728.2017.1404624
DO - 10.1080/00324728.2017.1404624
M3 - Journal articles
C2 - 29385903
VL - 72
SP - 109
EP - 121
JO - Population Studies
JF - Population Studies
SN - 0032-4728
IS - 1
ER -