TY - JOUR

T1 - The changing relationship between unemployment and total fertility

AU - Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan

AU - Goldstein, Joshua R.

PY - 2018/1/2

Y1 - 2018/1/2

N2 - The aim of this paper is to investigate whether there has been a fundamental change in the relationship between economic conditions and fertility. We use panel data methods to study the short-term changes in total fertility and the unemployment rate in a range of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries from 1957 to 2014. We find that although fertility was counter-cyclical before 1970, with good economic times being associated with lower fertility, since then it has become pro-cyclical, with good economic times being associated with higher fertility.

AB - The aim of this paper is to investigate whether there has been a fundamental change in the relationship between economic conditions and fertility. We use panel data methods to study the short-term changes in total fertility and the unemployment rate in a range of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries from 1957 to 2014. We find that although fertility was counter-cyclical before 1970, with good economic times being associated with lower fertility, since then it has become pro-cyclical, with good economic times being associated with higher fertility.

KW - Sociology

KW - total fertility

KW - unemployment rate

KW - pro-cyclical

KW - counter-cyclical

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85041285576&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1080/00324728.2017.1404624

DO - 10.1080/00324728.2017.1404624

M3 - Journal articles

C2 - 29385903

VL - 72

SP - 109

EP - 121

JO - Population Studies

JF - Population Studies

SN - 0032-4728

IS - 1

ER -