The changing relationship between unemployment and total fertility

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The aim of this paper is to investigate whether there has been a fundamental change in the relationship between economic conditions and fertility. We use panel data methods to study the short-term changes in total fertility and the unemployment rate in a range of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries from 1957 to 2014. We find that although fertility was counter-cyclical before 1970, with good economic times being associated with lower fertility, since then it has become pro-cyclical, with good economic times being associated with higher fertility.
Original languageEnglish
JournalPopulation Studies
Volume72
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)109-121
Number of pages13
ISSN0032-4728
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 02.01.2018

    Research areas

  • Sociology - total fertility, unemployment rate, pro-cyclical, counter-cyclical

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