Short run comovement, persistent shocks and the business cycle

Research output: Journal contributionsJournal articlesResearchpeer-review

Authors

Following standard real business cycle theory, long run economic growth and short run business cycle fluctuations are attributed to a series of productivity shocks propagated by the economic system which is assumed to be in a rational expectations equilibrium. Characterizing the technical progress as the common stochastic trend we are able to investigate the short and long run effects of the productivity shocks using a cointegrated system. From the empirical analysis it emerges that the long run relationship between the system variables can be traced back to a single permanent component which is interpreted as a measure of technological progress. The short run dynamic impact of the permanent innovations is investigated using the empirical impulse response functions. It turns out that the permanent shocks are able to explain a substantial portion of business cycle fluctuations.
Translated title of the contributionEine empirische Analyse der Wirkung kurz- und langfristiger Schocks im Konjunkturzyklus
Original languageEnglish
JournalJahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik
Volume217
Issue number4
Pages (from-to)436-448
Number of pages13
ISSN0021-4027
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01.08.1998
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

This version of the paper benefits from a number of helpful suggestions of
Olaf Hübler, Mark Watson, Jürgen Wolters and the seminar participants of the Free University of Berlin, the University of Limburg, Maastricht and the C.O.R.E, Louvain-La-Neuve. Moreover, the helpful comments and suggestions of an anonymous referee are gratefully acknowledged. All remaining errors are of course our own.

Links

DOI

Recently viewed

Publications

  1. Explaining Investment Dynamics: Empirical Evidence from German New Ventures
  2. Editorial: Machine Learning and Data Mining in Materials Science
  3. Migration-Based Multilingualism in the English as a Foreign Language Classroom
  4. Optimization of a gaseous multitube detector for soft X-ray detection
  5. The Economic Value of Clickstream Data From an Advertiser's Perspective
  6. Path dependence and technological expectations in transport policy
  7. Data practices in apps from Brazil: What do privacy policies inform us about?
  8. Utilization of protein-rich residues in biotechnological processes
  9. Swarm Robotics, or: the smartness of 'a bunch of cheap dumb things'
  10. Chapter 9: Particular Remedies for Non-performance: Section 4: Price Reduction
  11. User Authentication via Multifaceted Mouse Movements and Outlier Exposure
  12. A Method to Enhance the Accuracy of Time of Flight Measurement Systems
  13. Detection of significant tracer gases by means of polymer gas sensors
  14. From simulation to real-world robotic mobile fulfillment systems
  15. Developing shaping competence in informal setting at universities
  16. Web-Based Stress Management Program for University Students in Indonesia
  17. A cross-scale assessment of productivity–diversity relationships
  18. On the logic of drawing history from symbols, especially from images
  19. Why the measurement of species diversity requires prior value judgements
  20. A classification of teacher interventions in mathematics teaching
  21. New incremental methods for springback compensation by stress superposition