TY - JOUR

T1 - Cool weather tourism under global warming:

T2 - Comparing Arctic summer tourists’ weather preferences with regional climate statistics and Projections

AU - Førland, Eirik J.

AU - Jacobsen, Jens K.S.

AU - Denstadli, Jon Martin

AU - Lohmann, Martin

AU - Hanssen-Bauer, Inger

AU - Hygen, Hans Olav

AU - Tømmervik, Hans

PY - 2013/6/1

Y1 - 2013/6/1

N2 - This article uniquely compares tourists' weather preferences, aversions and acceptances with present and projected future summer weather in Northern Scandinavia. An in situ survey revealed tourist weather preferences (e.g. clear sky, rather warm) and aversions (e.g. frequent rainfall, low visibility). Weather observations and tailored climate projections depict present and future conditions of ‘wet’, ‘cool’, ‘mild’ and ‘warm’ days, and empirical relationships are developed to establish projections for cloudiness and visibility. The projections indicate that tourists' preference for rather warm weather will be met by increasing numbers of mild and warm days. However, the number of ‘wet’ days will increase and prospects for enjoying ‘midnight sun’ tend to be slightly reduced. The study offers a novel approach for better understanding the base of future tourist behaviour under climate change conditions and vital implications for tourism management are identified. Furthermore, advantageous interrelations between different scientific areas for climate change research are illustrated.

AB - This article uniquely compares tourists' weather preferences, aversions and acceptances with present and projected future summer weather in Northern Scandinavia. An in situ survey revealed tourist weather preferences (e.g. clear sky, rather warm) and aversions (e.g. frequent rainfall, low visibility). Weather observations and tailored climate projections depict present and future conditions of ‘wet’, ‘cool’, ‘mild’ and ‘warm’ days, and empirical relationships are developed to establish projections for cloudiness and visibility. The projections indicate that tourists' preference for rather warm weather will be met by increasing numbers of mild and warm days. However, the number of ‘wet’ days will increase and prospects for enjoying ‘midnight sun’ tend to be slightly reduced. The study offers a novel approach for better understanding the base of future tourist behaviour under climate change conditions and vital implications for tourism management are identified. Furthermore, advantageous interrelations between different scientific areas for climate change research are illustrated.

KW - Tourism studies

KW - Weather preference

KW - Weather acceptance

KW - Weather aversion

KW - Weather statistics

KW - Climate projection

KW - Tourism

KW - Sightseeing

KW - Outdoor recreation

KW - Arctic

KW - Arctic

KW - Climate projection

KW - Outdoor recreation

KW - Sightseeing

KW - Tourism

KW - Weather acceptance

KW - Weather aversion

KW - Weather preference

KW - Weather statistics

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85027936207&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.tourman.2012.09.002

DO - 10.1016/j.tourman.2012.09.002

M3 - Journal articles

VL - 36

SP - 567

EP - 579

JO - Tourism Management

JF - Tourism Management

SN - 0261-5177

IS - June 01

ER -