Lingering illness or sudden death? Pre-exit employment developments in German establishments

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Using a large administrative data set for Germany, this article compares employment developments in exiting and surviving establishments. Applying a matching approach, we find a clear "shadow of death" effect reflecting lingering illness: in both West and East Germany establishments shrink dramatically already several years before closure, employment growth rates differ strongly between exiting and surviving establishments, and this difference becomes stronger as exit approaches. Moreover, we provide first evidence that prior to exit the workforce becomes on average more skilled, more female, and older in exiting compared to surviving establishments. These effects are more clearly visible in West than in East Germany.
Original languageEnglish
JournalIndustrial and Corporate Change
Volume23
Issue number4
Pages (from-to)1121-1140
Number of pages20
ISSN0960-6491
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 08.2014

    Research areas

  • Economics - employment, growth rate, skilled labor, working conditions

DOI