Why the Future Is (Still) Democratic
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In: Journal of Democracy, Vol. 33, No. 1, 01.01.2022, p. 156-162.
Research output: Journal contributions › Journal articles › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Why the Future Is (Still) Democratic
AU - Welzel, Christian
AU - Kruse, Stefan
AU - Brunkert, Lennart
PY - 2022/1/1
Y1 - 2022/1/1
N2 - Contradicting the oft-cited "deconsolidation thesis"—the notion of a worldwide decline in democratic support, especially among the young—we demonstrate that there is no global erosion of support for democracy, neither over time nor across generations. The global democratic-support trend is basically flat, with cyclical fluctuations between a very high and stable base level. More important, however, is a global generational shift from authoritarian values toward emancipative ones. Emancipative values tie democratic support increasingly tightly to liberal principles. Emancipative-values holders are more likely to resist attempts by autocrats or populists to deny or limit democratic freedoms. Slowly but steadily, this cultural undercurrent is shifting legitimacy from autocracy to democracy in most world regions. Democracy's future is bright.
AB - Contradicting the oft-cited "deconsolidation thesis"—the notion of a worldwide decline in democratic support, especially among the young—we demonstrate that there is no global erosion of support for democracy, neither over time nor across generations. The global democratic-support trend is basically flat, with cyclical fluctuations between a very high and stable base level. More important, however, is a global generational shift from authoritarian values toward emancipative ones. Emancipative values tie democratic support increasingly tightly to liberal principles. Emancipative-values holders are more likely to resist attempts by autocrats or populists to deny or limit democratic freedoms. Slowly but steadily, this cultural undercurrent is shifting legitimacy from autocracy to democracy in most world regions. Democracy's future is bright.
KW - Politics
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85123180268&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/92f654a1-3384-3cca-9bc4-40b1649df3d5/
U2 - 10.1353/jod.2022.0011
DO - 10.1353/jod.2022.0011
M3 - Journal articles
AN - SCOPUS:85123180268
VL - 33
SP - 156
EP - 162
JO - Journal of Democracy
JF - Journal of Democracy
SN - 1045-5736
IS - 1
ER -