Which clicks lead to conversions? Modeling user-journeys across multiple types of online advertising

Research output: Contributions to collected editions/worksArticle in conference proceedingsResearchpeer-review

Authors

  • Florian Nottorf
With an increase in the potential to allocate financial online advertising spending, managers are facing a sophisticated decision and allocation process. We developed a binary logit model with a Bayesian mixture approach to address consumers' buying decision processes and to account for the effects of multiple online advertising channels. By analyzing data from a medium-sized online mail order business, we found inherent differences in the effects of consumer clicks on purchasing probabilities across multiple advertising channels. We developed an alternative approach to account for the different attribution of success of advertising channels - the average success probability (ASP). Compared to standardized metrics, we found paid search advertising to be overestimated and retargeting display advertising to be underestimated. We further found that the mixture approach is useful for considering heterogeneity in the individual propensity of consumers to purchase; for the majority of consumers (more than 90%), repeated clicks on advertisements decrease their probability of purchasing. In contrast with this segment, we found a smaller segment of consumers (nearly 10%) whose clicks on advertisements increase conversion probabilities. Our approaches will help managers to better understand consumer online search and buying behavior over time and to allocate financial spending more efficiently across multiple types of online advertising.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationICE-B 2013 - 10th International Conference on E-Business : Part of the ICETE 2013: 10th International Joint Conference on E-Business and Telecommunications, Proceedings
EditorsMohammad S. Obaidat
Number of pages12
PublisherInstitute for Systems and Technologies of Information, Control and Communication Haskolans (Reykjavik)
Publication date2013
Pages141-152
ISBN (print)978-989-8565-72-3
Publication statusPublished - 2013
Event10th International Conference on E-Business - ICE-B 2013 - Reykjavik, Iceland
Duration: 29.07.201331.07.2013
Conference number: 10
http://www.ice-b.icete.org/?y=2013

    Research areas

  • Digital media - Bayesian analyis, Clickstream data, Consumer behavior, Mixture of normals, Online advertising, Purchasing probabilities, User-journey

Documents

Recently viewed

Publications

  1. Seeing faces, when faces can't be seen
  2. Elevated air carbon dioxide concentrations increase dissolved carbon leaching from a cropland soil
  3. Digi-Exist
  4. Role of critical points of the skin friction field in formation of plumes in thermal convection
  5. Environmental Governance of China's Belt and Road Initiative
  6. The moderating role of experience on the relationship between trust and performance of cooperating SMEs in transformation economies
  7. Jochen Werner: Aki Kaurismäki
  8. Population genetics and ecological niche modelling reveal high fragmentation and potential future extinction of the endangered relict butterfly Lycaena helle
  9. Transformations of pesticides in the atmosphere
  10. A theoretical framework to support green agripreneurship avoiding greenwashing
  11. Can knowledge of priority effects improve outcomes of ecological restoration?
  12. Reconciling Analytics with Holistic Thinking in Business Sustainability Decision-Making
  13. Veränderungen in den Hochschul- und Wissenschaftsstrukturen
  14. On the influence of settling of (ZrB2)P inoculants on Grain Refinement of Mg-alloys
  15. Li-Yorke pairs of full Hausdorff dimension for some chaotic dynamical systems
  16. Beyond social influence
  17. Development of pre-service teachers' self-efficacy beliefs and attitudes towards inclusive education through first teaching experiences
  18. Is the future still open? The mediating role of occupational future time perspective in the effects of career adaptability and aging experience on late career planning
  19. Usually hated, sometimes loved:
  20. Der europäische Weg
  21. Subversive Gamification