Uncertainty and sustainability in the management of rangelands

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We analyze a dynamic and stochastic ecological-economic model of grazing management in semi-arid rangelands. The ecosystem is driven by stochastic precipitation. A risk averse farmer chooses a grazing management strategy under uncertainty such as to maximize expected utility from farming income. Grazing management strategies are rules about which share of the rangeland is given rest depending on the actual rainfall in that year. In a first step we determine a myopic farmer's optimal grazing management strategy and show that a risk averse farmer chooses a strategy such as to obtain insurance from the ecosystem: the optimal strategy reduces income variability, but yields less mean income than possible. In a second step we analyze the long-run ecological and economic impact of different strategies. We conclude that a myopic farmer, if he is sufficiently risk averse, will choose a sustainable grazing management strategy, even if he does not take into account long-term ecological and economic benefits of conservative strategies. © 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
OriginalspracheEnglisch
ZeitschriftEcological Economics
Band62
Ausgabennummer2
Seiten (von - bis)251-266
Anzahl der Seiten16
ISSN0921-8009
DOIs
PublikationsstatusErschienen - 2007

DOI

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