Scenarios for coal-exit in Germany-a model-based analysis and implications in the European context

Publikation: Beiträge in ZeitschriftenZeitschriftenaufsätzeForschungbegutachtet

Authors

  • Martin Kittel
  • Leonard Goeke
  • Claudia Kemfert
  • Pao Yu Oei
  • Christian von Hirschhausen

The political discussion to reduce the carbon footprint of Germany's electricity sector, focusing on coal, is intensifying. In this paper, we develop scenarios for phasing out lignite and hard coal power plants in Germany prior to the end of their technical lifespan (“coal-exit”). Our analysis bases upon two coal-exit instruments, the retirement of coal generation capacities and the limiting of how much aged coal power plants with high carbon intensity can be used within a year. Results show that phasing out coal in Germany would have a considerable impact on Central European electricity markets, in terms of decarbonization efforts and electricity trade. An ambitious coal-exit could avert foreseeable shortcomings in Germany's climate performance in the short-run and release additional carbon savings, thus compensating for potential shortfalls in other energy-intensive sectors by 2030. Limited emissions in the range of 27% would be shifted to neighboring countries. However, tremendous positive climate effects on European scale would result, because Germany's annual emission savings in 2030 would be substantial. Totaling 85 million tons of CO2, the overall net reduction is equivalent to 17.5% of total European emissions in 2030 without retirements of coal-firing power plants prior to the end of their technical lifespan.

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummer2041
ZeitschriftEnergies
Jahrgang13
Ausgabenummer8
Anzahl der Seiten19
ISSN1996-1073
DOIs
PublikationsstatusErschienen - 20.04.2020
Extern publiziertJa

Bibliographische Notiz

Funding: This research was supported by the German Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) under grant number 01LN1704A for the research group CoalExit and under grant number 01LA1810A/ 01LA1810B for the research project “Future of Fossil Fuels in the wake of greenhouse gas neutrality”.

Dokumente

DOI

Zuletzt angesehen

Publikationen

  1. A three-armed randomised controlled trial investigating the comparative impact of guidance on the efficacy of a web-based stress management intervention and health impairing and promoting mechanisms of prevention
  2. The global perspective of education for sustainable development
  3. Oxygenated Perfluorochemicals Improve Cell Survival during Reoxygenation by Pacifying Mitochondrial Activity
  4. Editorial: Challenges and Opportunities for Multinational Corporations in Sustainable Development
  5. Farewell to the party model?
  6. ephemera: theory & politics in organization
  7. Bias-corrected estimation for speculative bubbles in stock prices
  8. Friction analyses in twisted and helical profile extrusion of aluminum alloys
  9. Leben
  10. The Weeping Earth
  11. An Investigation on Hot Tearing of Mg-4.5Zn-(0.5Zr) Alloys with Y Additions
  12. Immanent/Economic Trinity
  13. Biodiversität
  14. Gesprächsformen
  15. Lesen unter Gleichen
  16. Understanding cultural variation in cognition one child at a time
  17. Non-native Douglas fir promotes epigeal spider density, but has a mixed effect on functional diversity
  18. Environmental Regulation and Sustainable Competitiveness
  19. Arrival of a Kitty
  20. Gender equality salience, backlash and radical right voting in the gender-equal context of Sweden
  21. Potential of mobility services
  22. Cyberprovincialism
  23. Erstes und zweites Zuhause
  24. Le vertige des sens
  25. Center for the Study of Democracy at Leuphana University Lüneburg
  26. Strength matters
  27. LGVT
  28. Apologies and Corpus Pragmatics
  29. Jean Piaget zur Einführung
  30. Öffentlichkeiten
  31. Resilience, Entrepreneurship and ICT

Presse / Medien

  1. Zwei neue Ehrendoktoren