Locked in a fossil-centric system paradigm: LNG expansion impedes socio-ecological transition toward a just and renewable energy future

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Locked in a fossil-centric system paradigm: LNG expansion impedes socio-ecological transition toward a just and renewable energy future. / Kemfert, Claudia; Präger, Fabian; Hoffart, Franziska M. et al.
In: Cell Reports Sustainability, Vol. 2, No. 8, 100464, 22.08.2025.

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@article{cb600c53685b4ce39004d6ae51d5dc2a,
title = "Locked in a fossil-centric system paradigm: LNG expansion impedes socio-ecological transition toward a just and renewable energy future",
abstract = "The expansion of liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure in Europe significantly impedes the necessary socio-ecological transformation (SET) required to shift toward a decentralized, 100% renewable energy system (RES). By reinforcing a fossil-centric system paradigm, LNG infrastructure deepens Europe's dependence on fossil fuels, thereby delaying climate goals and increasing greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, “H2-ready” claims and carbon capture and transport technologies (carbon capture, transportation, and storage [CCTS]) serve primarily to prolong fossil pathways rather than support a genuine transition. These developments exacerbate environmental damages and raise critical justice concerns, unfairly burdening future generations and communities affected by resource extraction. The analysis emphasizes that expanding LNG capacity is unnecessary for energy security and poses risks of stranded assets and infrastructure lock-ins incompatible with climate goal objectives. To foster a just transition aligning with sustainable development goals, the study calls for halting further LNG infrastructure expansion and redirecting investments toward 100% RESs.",
keywords = "energy security, fossil fuel dependency, fossil lock-in, H2-ready infrastructure, liquefied natural gas, LNG, renewable energy system, socio-ecological transformation, sustainable development goals, Environmental Governance, Sustainability Governance, Sustainability sciences, Communication",
author = "Claudia Kemfert and Fabian Pr{\"a}ger and Hoffart, {Franziska M.} and {von Hirschhausen}, Christian",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2025 The Author(s)",
year = "2025",
month = aug,
day = "22",
doi = "10.1016/j.crsus.2025.100464",
language = "English",
volume = "2",
journal = "Cell Reports Sustainability",
issn = "2949-7906",
publisher = "Cell Press",
number = "8",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Locked in a fossil-centric system paradigm

T2 - LNG expansion impedes socio-ecological transition toward a just and renewable energy future

AU - Kemfert, Claudia

AU - Präger, Fabian

AU - Hoffart, Franziska M.

AU - von Hirschhausen, Christian

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2025 The Author(s)

PY - 2025/8/22

Y1 - 2025/8/22

N2 - The expansion of liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure in Europe significantly impedes the necessary socio-ecological transformation (SET) required to shift toward a decentralized, 100% renewable energy system (RES). By reinforcing a fossil-centric system paradigm, LNG infrastructure deepens Europe's dependence on fossil fuels, thereby delaying climate goals and increasing greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, “H2-ready” claims and carbon capture and transport technologies (carbon capture, transportation, and storage [CCTS]) serve primarily to prolong fossil pathways rather than support a genuine transition. These developments exacerbate environmental damages and raise critical justice concerns, unfairly burdening future generations and communities affected by resource extraction. The analysis emphasizes that expanding LNG capacity is unnecessary for energy security and poses risks of stranded assets and infrastructure lock-ins incompatible with climate goal objectives. To foster a just transition aligning with sustainable development goals, the study calls for halting further LNG infrastructure expansion and redirecting investments toward 100% RESs.

AB - The expansion of liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure in Europe significantly impedes the necessary socio-ecological transformation (SET) required to shift toward a decentralized, 100% renewable energy system (RES). By reinforcing a fossil-centric system paradigm, LNG infrastructure deepens Europe's dependence on fossil fuels, thereby delaying climate goals and increasing greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, “H2-ready” claims and carbon capture and transport technologies (carbon capture, transportation, and storage [CCTS]) serve primarily to prolong fossil pathways rather than support a genuine transition. These developments exacerbate environmental damages and raise critical justice concerns, unfairly burdening future generations and communities affected by resource extraction. The analysis emphasizes that expanding LNG capacity is unnecessary for energy security and poses risks of stranded assets and infrastructure lock-ins incompatible with climate goal objectives. To foster a just transition aligning with sustainable development goals, the study calls for halting further LNG infrastructure expansion and redirecting investments toward 100% RESs.

KW - energy security

KW - fossil fuel dependency

KW - fossil lock-in

KW - H2-ready infrastructure

KW - liquefied natural gas

KW - LNG

KW - renewable energy system

KW - socio-ecological transformation

KW - sustainable development goals

KW - Environmental Governance

KW - Sustainability Governance

KW - Sustainability sciences, Communication

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=105012742181&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.crsus.2025.100464

DO - 10.1016/j.crsus.2025.100464

M3 - Scientific review articles

AN - SCOPUS:105012742181

VL - 2

JO - Cell Reports Sustainability

JF - Cell Reports Sustainability

SN - 2949-7906

IS - 8

M1 - 100464

ER -

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