Crowdsourcing Hypothesis Tests: Making transparent how design choices shape research results

Research output: Journal contributionsJournal articlesResearchpeer-review

Authors

  • Justin F. Landy
  • Miaolei Liam
  • Isabel L. Ding
  • Domenico Viganola
  • Warren Tierney
  • Anna Dreber
  • Magnus Johannesson
  • Thomas Pfeiffer
  • Charles R. Ebersole
  • Quentin F. Gronau
  • Alexander Ly
  • Don Van Den Bergh
  • Maarten Marsman
  • Koen Derks
  • Eric Jan Wagenmaker
  • Andrew Proctor
  • Daniel M. Bartels
  • Christopher W. Bauman
  • William J. Brady
  • Felix Cheung
  • Andrei Cimpian
  • Simone Dohle
  • M. Brent Donnellan
  • Adam Hahn
  • Michael P. Hall
  • William Jiménez-Leal
  • David J. Johnson
  • Richard E. Lucas
  • BenoÎt Monin
  • Andres Montealegre
  • Elizabeth Mullen
  • Jun Pang
  • Jennifer Ray
  • Diego A. Reinero
  • Jesse Reynolds
  • Walter Sowden
  • Daniel Storage
  • Runkun Su
  • Christina M. Tworek
  • Jay J. Van Bavel
  • Daniel Walco
  • Julian Wills
  • Xiaobing Xu
  • Kai Chi Yam
  • Xiaoyu Yang
  • William A. Cunningham
  • Martin Schweinsberg
  • Molly Urwitz
  • Eric L. Uhlmann
  • Matú Adamkovic
  • Ravin Alaei
  • Casper J. Albers
  • Aurélien Allard
  • Ian A. Anderson
  • Michael R. Andreychik
  • Peter Babinčák
  • Bradley J. Baker
  • Gabriel Baník
  • Ernest Baskin
  • Jozef Bavolar
  • Ruud M.W.J. Berkers
  • Michal Białek
  • Joel Blanke
  • Johannes Breuer
  • Ambra Brizi
  • Stephanie E.V. Brown
  • Florian Brühlmann
  • Hendrik Bruns
  • Leigh Caldwell
  • Jean François Campourcy
  • Eugene Y. Chan
  • Yen Ping Chang
  • Benjamin Y. Cheung
  • Alycia Chin
  • Kit W. Cho
  • Simon Columbus
  • Paul Conway
  • Conrad A. Corretti
  • Adam W. Craig
  • Paul G. Curran
  • Alexander F. Danvers
  • Ian G.J. Dawson
  • Martin V. Day
  • Erik Dietl
  • Johannes T. Doerflinger
  • Alice Dominici
  • Vilius Dranseika
  • Peter A. Edelsbrunner
  • John E. Edlund
  • Matthew Fisher
  • Anna Fung
  • Timo Gnambs
  • Matthew H. Goldberg
  • Lorenz Graf-Vlachy
  • Andrew C. Hafenbrack
  • Sebastian Hafenbrädl
  • Andree Hartanto
  • Joseph P. Heffner
  • Joseph Hilgard
  • Felix Holzmeister
  • Oleksandr V. Horchak
  • Tina S.T. Huang
  • Joachim Hüffmeier
  • Sean Hughes
  • Ian Hussey
  • Roland Imhoff
  • Bastian Jaeger
  • Konrad Jamro
  • Samuel G.B. Johnson
  • Andrew Jones
  • Lucas Keller
  • Olga Kombeiz
  • Lacy E. Krueger
  • Anthony Lantian
  • Justin P. Laplante
  • Ljiljana B. Lazarevic
  • Jonathan Leclerc
  • Nicole Legate
  • James M. Leonhardt
  • Desmond W. Leung
  • Carmel A. Levitan
  • Hause Lin
  • Qinglan Liu
  • Marco Tullio Liuzza
  • Kenneth D. Locke
  • Albert L. Ly
  • Melanie MacEacheron
  • Christopher R. Madan
  • Harry Manley
  • Silvia Mari
  • Marcel Martončik
  • Scott L. McLean
  • Jonathon McPhetres
  • Brett G. Mercier
  • Corinna Michels
  • Michael C. Mullarkey
  • Erica D. Musser
  • Ladislas Nalborczyk
  • Gustav Nilsonne
  • Nicholas G. Otis
  • Sarah M.G. Otner
  • Philipp E. Otto
  • Oscar Oviedo-Trespalacios
  • Mariola Paruzel-Czachura
  • Francesco Pellegrini
  • Vitor M.D. Pereira
  • Hannah Perfecto
  • Gerit Pfuhl
  • Mark H. Phillips
  • Ori Plonsky
  • Maura Pozzi
  • Danka B. Puric
  • Brett Raymond-Barker
  • David E. Redman
  • Caleb J. Reynolds
  • Ivan Ropovik
  • Lukas Röseler
  • Janna K. Ruessmann
  • William H. Ryan
  • Nika Sablaturova
  • Kurt J. Schuepfer
  • Astrid Schütz
  • Miroslav Sirota
  • Matthias Stefan
  • Eric L. Stocks
  • Garrett L. Strosser
  • Jordan W. Suchow
  • Anna Szabelska
  • Kian Siong Tey
  • Leonid Tiokhin
  • Jais Troian
  • Till Utesch
  • Alejandro Vásquez-Echeverriá
  • Leigh Ann Vaughn
  • Mark Verschoor
  • Bettina Von Helversen
  • Pascal Wallisch
  • Sophia C. Weissgerber
  • Aaron L. Wichman
  • Jan K. Woike
  • Iris Žeželj
  • Janis H. Zickfeld
  • Yeonsin Ahn
  • Philippe F. Blaettchen
  • Xi Kang
  • Yoo Jin Lee
  • Philip M. Parker
  • Paul A. Parker
  • Jamie S. Song
  • May Anne Very
  • Lynn Wong

To what extent are research results influenced by subjective decisions that scientists make as they design studies? Fifteen research teams independently designed studies to answer five original research questions related to moral judgments, negotiations, and implicit cognition. Participants from 2 separate large samples (total N = 15,000) were then randomly assigned to complete 1 version of each study. Effect sizes varied dramatically across different sets of materials designed to test the same hypothesis: Materials from different teams rendered statistically significant effects in opposite directions for 4 of 5 hypotheses, with the narrowest range in estimates being d = —0.37 to + 0.26. Meta-analysis and a Bayesian perspective on the results revealed overall support for 2 hypotheses and a lack of support for 3 hypotheses. Overall, practically none of the variability in effect sizes was attributable to the skill of the research team in designing materials, whereas considerable variability was attributable to the hypothesis being tested. In a forecasting survey, predictions of other scientists were significantly correlated with study results, both across and within hypotheses. Crowdsourced testing of research hypotheses helps reveal the true consistency of empirical support for a scientific claim.

Original languageEnglish
JournalPsychological Bulletin
Volume146
Issue number5
Pages (from-to)451-479
Number of pages29
ISSN0033-2909
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01.05.2020
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020, American Psychological Association.

    Research areas

  • conceptual replications, crowdsourcing, forecasting, research robustness, scientific transparency
  • Business psychology

DOI

Recently viewed

Publications

  1. Manipulating Belief in Free Will and Its Downstream Consequences
  2. Productive Transformations and Bilateralism in the Semi-Periphery
  3. Super-GAU und Computersimulation
  4. AN INVESTIGATION OF LENGTH ESTIMATION SKILLS OF HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS WITH MILD INTELLECTUAL DISABILITY
  5. A cross-scale assessment of productivity–diversity relationships
  6. An Internet-Based Guided Self-Help Intervention for Panic Symptoms
  7. Sustainable Reporting?
  8. Credit constraints and margins of import
  9. Trade-off between Production and Inventory Costs with Respect to a Given Demand Situation
  10. Evaluation of revitalization policies and redevelopment strategy for residential environment in coal mining areas
  11. Curatorial Practices of the ‘Global’
  12. Interdiffusion and atomic mobility in hcp Mg–Al–Sn alloys
  13. Constellations of Transdisciplinary Practices: A Map and Research Agenda for the Responsible Management Learning Field
  14. § 350
  15. Teaching learning strategies with a pedagogical agent
  16. Technikvergessenheit?
  17. Discrimination at work: Effects on Job Satisfaction and Organizational Commitment. An empirical study of the influence of perceived discrimination on work-related behaviours among people with and without a migration background
  18. Tree diversity promotes generalist herbivore community patterns in a young subtropical forest experiment
  19. Machine Learning Analysis in the Diagnostics of the Dynamics of Ball Bearing with Different Radial Internal Clearance
  20. BAuA-Arbeitszeitbefragung: Vergleich 2015 – 2017 – 2019
  21. 3D characterization of beta-phases in AZ91D by synchrotron-radiation based microtomography
  22. Towards Ecosystems for Responsible AI
  23. Investigation of the dynamic grain structure evolution during hot extrusion of En AW-6082
  24. A Privacy-driven Enterprise Architecture Meta-Model for Supporting Compliance with the General Data Protection Regulation
  25. Classifying railway stations for strategic transport and land use planning
  26. Trees in the desert
  27. Environmental Shareholder Value Matrix
  28. Bifurcation loads of circular curved beams of glued-laminated timber with continuous lateral support
  29. Problems and coping, strategies and initiative in microbusiness owners in South Africa
  30. Two-way NxP fertilisation experiment on barley (Hordeum vulgare) reveals shift from additive to synergistic N-P interactions at critical phosphorus fertilisation level