Are rational expectations equilibria with private information eductively stable?

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The paper derives conditions for eductive stability of rational expectations equilibria in simple linear economic models with private information. Following Guesnerie (1992; 2002), the concept of eductive stability is used. It is shown that even in a private information setting, rational expectations equilibria might be justified as a result of mental process of reasoning of the agents. The paper considers an equilibrium concept, where the agents are unable to condition their forecasts on the actual market price. It is shown that eductive stability in this case requires that a condition is satisfied that is also relevant in the symmetric information case. This condition is compared to the respective stability condition that must hold if agents are able to use the current market price as an additional source of information. It turns out that the conditions for eductive stability that emerge under both equilibrium concepts differ.
OriginalspracheEnglisch
ZeitschriftJournal of Economics
Jahrgang82
Ausgabenummer2
Seiten (von - bis)169-194
Anzahl der Seiten26
ISSN0931-8658
DOIs
PublikationsstatusErschienen - 01.06.2004

DOI