The walking debt crisis

Research output: Journal contributionsJournal articlesResearchpeer-review

Authors

This article sheds light on the question whether arising sovereign credit risk in the EMU has been triggered by the US subprime crunch. By adapting recent econometric methodologies suggested in the related field of speculative bubbles, we find clear evidence for fast diverging (and even explosive) behavior of EMU government bond yields of peripheral countries relative to Germany during the financial and the European debt crisis. This might be caused by flight-to-quality effects to German government bonds coincident with the collapse of Lehman Brothers and by a loss of confidence in the fiscal stability of Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain during the European debt crisis. First, we find compelling evidence for bubbles in the Dow Jones Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) index which serves as a weekly measure of economic activity in the North American real estate sector. Second, in our main analysis, we test whether the collapsing bubble in the housing market triggered the diverging government bond yields during two crisis regimes. Our findings indicate that this was the case in the course of the financial crisis, but not during the EMU sovereign debt crisis. These results suggest that the severe fiscal problems in peripheral countries are homemade rather than imported from the US.
Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Volume157
Pages (from-to)382-402
Number of pages21
ISSN0167-2681
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01.01.2019

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 Elsevier B.V.

    Research areas

  • Economics - Covereign debt crisis, Sovereign credit risk, Subprime crisis, Bubbles, explosive behavior, Bubble migration

Recently viewed

Researchers

  1. Julia Bastian

Publications

  1. Observational natural history and morphological taxonomy are indispensable for future challenges in biodiversity and conservation
  2. Gründungsberatung
  3. Scale-dependent effects of conspecific negative density dependence and immigration on biodiversity maintenance
  4. Riskante Positionierungen
  5. V. Systematisch-theologisch
  6. The Domestication of Luxury in Social Theory
  7. Supplementing Q-method with narratives
  8. How do family entrepreneurs recognize opportunities?
  9. Zusammenhang zwischen Burnout und Persönlichkeit
  10. Genes versus environment
  11. Störungen infolge "learning by doing", alternative Streitbeilegung, Einführung einer einheitlichen Nachtragsberechnung bei der DB AG
  12. Monitoring mental stressors at work with the work health audit instrument factors
  13. The impact of foreign takeovers: comparative evidence from foreign and domestic acquisitions in Germany
  14. Tapping Environmental Accounting Potentials of Beer Brewing
  15. UN Global Action Programme and Education for Sustainable Development: A Critical Appraisal of the Evidence Base
  16. RiB-Kit (RFID-in-a-Box)
  17. Structural elements enhanced by retention forestry promote forest and non-forest specialist bees and wasps
  18. Universalien, religionsphilosophisch
  19. Mobile phone signals and protest crowds
  20. Mental Contrasting and Goal Commitment
  21. Imagining ways forward
  22. Ant seed predation, pesticide applications and farmers income from tropical multi-cropping gardens
  23. Vegetation mapping in the Gobi Gurvan Saykhan National Park and the Great Gobi B Strictly Protected Area - a comparison of first results
  24. Sustainability-Oriented Innovation of SMEs
  25. What enables metals ‘being’ ‘responsible’? An exploratory study on the enabling of organizational identity claims through a new sustainability standard
  26. Trends for snow cover and river flows in the Pamirs (Central Asia)
  27. Self-Regulation, Language Skills, and Emotion Knowledge in Young Children From Northern Germany
  28. Taking Care of History
  29. Moral sensitivity in business
  30. Culture's Influence on Emotional Intelligence
  31. Self-efficacy in classroom management, classroom disturbances, and emotional exhaustion
  32. Predictive performance of plant species distribution models depends on species traits
  33. Public Urban Space Matters!
  34. Evolution of entrepreneurs’ expectations using Instagram as a business practice: A transformative learning perspective in the case of sustainable fashion entrepreneurs in Mexico
  35. Bildung und Erziehung heute
  36. Kosten-Nutzen-Analysen in der Praxis – Pilotierung der Evaluation einer Computerized-Numerical-Control (CNC)-Trainingsmaßnahme