House price expectations
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Authors
This study examines short-, medium-, and long-run price expectations in housing markets. At the heart of our analysis is the combination of data from a tailored in-person household survey, past sale offerings, satellite imagery on developable land, and an information treatment (RCT). As novel finding, we show that price expectations show no evidence for momentum-effects in the long run. We also do not find much evidence for behavioural biases in expectations related to individual housing tenure decisions. Confirming existing findings, we find momentum-effects in the short-run and that individuals, to a limited extend, use aggregate price information to update local expectations. Lastly, we provide suggestive evidence corroborating existing findings that expectations are relevant for portfolio choice.
Original language | English |
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Journal | Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization |
Volume | 218 |
Pages (from-to) | 379-398 |
Number of pages | 20 |
ISSN | 0167-2681 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 01.02.2024 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Elsevier B.V.
- Economics - House price expectations, Housing