Exposure of the Irish population to PBDEs in food: consideration of parameter uncertainty and variability for risk assessment

Research output: Journal contributionsJournal articlesResearchpeer-review

Authors

  • David Trudel
  • Christina Tlustos
  • Natalie von Goetz
  • Martin Scheringer
  • Peter Reichert
  • Konrad Hungerbühler

Polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) are brominated flame retardants used to retard the ignition and/or spread of fire. PBDEs are used in various consumer products, such as textiles, mattresses and TV screens. This study presents a chemical risk assessment for the Irish population based on exposure to PBDEs from food. Special regard is given to the influence of parameter uncertainty and variability on the margins of safety. To quantitatively model uncertainty and variability in concentration data and variability in consumer behavior, a hierarchical probabilistic model was constructed. This model was evaluated using a two-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation (2D-MCS) approach. By considering uncertainty and variability in concentration data, margins of safety (MOS) were derived that are lower by a factor of ∼2 compared to MOS based on dose estimates that only consider variability. The lowest MOS is 7.5 × 10(4) for BDE-99, with impaired spermatogenesis as toxic endpoint. Assuming an MOS of 10(4) as acceptable, we conclude that there is no significant risk for human health through intake of contaminated food. To investigate whether additional measurements could improve the quality of dose estimates, the statistic "uncertainty-to-variability (UVR)" was developed. By applying the UVR to our dose estimates, we show that, in our case, the datasets contain little uncertainty and additional measurements would not significantly improve the quality of dose estimates.

Original languageEnglish
JournalFood additives & contaminants. Part A, Chemistry, analysis, control, exposure & risk assessment
Volume28
Issue number7
Pages (from-to)943-955
Number of pages13
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 07.2011

    Research areas

  • Chemistry - polybromitated diphenyl ether, food exposure, Two-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation, uncertainty-to-variability, risk assessment

Recently viewed

Publications

  1. Aufbau und Organisation von Entwicklungsprojekten
  2. Politikberatung in den USA: Ein Vorbild für Europa?
  3. Billig-standardisiert und hochwertig spezialisiert
  4. Regierungskoalitionen: Bildung und Dauerhaftigkeit
  5. Political Parties, Elections and Ethnicity in Kenya
  6. Dispatching rule selection with Gaussian processes
  7. Die betriebsratsfreie Zone aus ökonomischer Sicht
  8. Extrusion of profiles with variable wall thickness
  9. Stetigkeit nach Handels- und Steuerrecht sowie IFRS
  10. § 4 Grundzüge des materiellen Fusionskontrollrechts
  11. Partizipationsforschung und nachhaltige Entwicklung
  12. Advisory systems in pluralistic knowledge societies:
  13. Weiterentwicklung der Unternehmensberichterstattung
  14. Switching Dispatching Rules with Gaussian Processes
  15. Micro and Macro Perspectives in Organization Theory
  16. Kopplungsprobleme wissensorientierter Kommunikation
  17. Neue Formen der Beschäftigung - neue Personalpolitik?
  18. Microstructural approaches of engineering materials
  19. Basic investigations in incremental profile forming
  20. Parallelgesellschaften? Politische Eliten und Bürger.
  21. Authenticity and authentication in language learning
  22. Outsider- und Insider-Systeme der Corporate Governance
  23. Rechtliche Rahmenbedingungen einer "deutschen" Limited
  24. Lokale politische Eliten und Fragen der Legitimation
  25. Imagining organization through metaphor and metonymy
  26. §53 VwVfG Hemmung der Verjährung durch Verwaltungsakt
  27. Ziele der Partizipation von Kindern und Jugendlichen
  28. Moral Sensitivity as a Precondition of Moral Distress
  29. Non-local modeling of size effects in amorphous metals
  30. Einführung in die allgemeine Betriebswirtschaftslehre
  31. Organizational Behaviour - Verhalten in Organisationen
  32. Kleine und mittlere Unternehmen in Umbruchsituationen
  33. Organisatorische Veränderung und Corporate Governance
  34. Zugang und Ausschluss als Gegenstand des Privatrechts
  35. Participation: Empowerment for Sustainable Development
  36. Grain refinement of Mg-Al alloys by carbon inoculation
  37. Marketing in kleinen und mittelständischen Unternehmen