TY - JOUR

T1 - Designing a model for the global energy system-GENeSYS-MOD

T2 - An application of the Open-Source Energy Modeling System (OSeMOSYS)

AU - Löffler, Konstantin

AU - Hainsch, Karlo

AU - Burandt, Thorsten

AU - Oei, Pao Yu

AU - Kemfert, Claudia

AU - Von Hirschhausen, Christian

N1 - We acknowledge support by the German Research Foundation and the Open Access Publication Funds of Technische Universität Berlin.

PY - 2017/10/1

Y1 - 2017/10/1

N2 - This paper develops a path for the global energy system up to 2050, presenting a new application of the open-source energy modeling system (OSeMOSYS) to the community. It allows quite disaggregate energy and emission analysis: Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD) uses a system of linear equations of the energy system to search for lowest-cost solutions for a secure energy supply, given externally defined constraints, mainly in terms of CO2-emissions. The general algebraic modeling system (GAMS) version of OSeMOSYS is updated to the newest version and, in addition, extended and enhanced to include e.g., a modal split for transport, an improved trading system, and changes to storages. The model can be scaled from small-scale applications, e.g., a company, to cover the global energy system. The paper also includes an application of GENeSYS-MOD to analyze decarbonization scenarios at the global level, broken down into 10 regions. Its main focus is on interdependencies between traditionally segregated sectors: Electricity, transportation, and heating; which are all included in the model. Model calculations suggests that in order to achieve the 1.5-2 °C target, a combination of renewable energy sources provides the lowest-cost solution, solar photovoltaic being the dominant source. Average costs of electricity generation in 2050 are about 4 cents/kWh (excluding infrastructure and transportation costs).

AB - This paper develops a path for the global energy system up to 2050, presenting a new application of the open-source energy modeling system (OSeMOSYS) to the community. It allows quite disaggregate energy and emission analysis: Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD) uses a system of linear equations of the energy system to search for lowest-cost solutions for a secure energy supply, given externally defined constraints, mainly in terms of CO2-emissions. The general algebraic modeling system (GAMS) version of OSeMOSYS is updated to the newest version and, in addition, extended and enhanced to include e.g., a modal split for transport, an improved trading system, and changes to storages. The model can be scaled from small-scale applications, e.g., a company, to cover the global energy system. The paper also includes an application of GENeSYS-MOD to analyze decarbonization scenarios at the global level, broken down into 10 regions. Its main focus is on interdependencies between traditionally segregated sectors: Electricity, transportation, and heating; which are all included in the model. Model calculations suggests that in order to achieve the 1.5-2 °C target, a combination of renewable energy sources provides the lowest-cost solution, solar photovoltaic being the dominant source. Average costs of electricity generation in 2050 are about 4 cents/kWh (excluding infrastructure and transportation costs).

KW - Economics

KW - Decarbonization

KW - Energy policy

KW - Energy system modeling

KW - Energy transition

KW - OSeMOSYS

KW - Renewables

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85044376390&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.3390/en10101468

DO - 10.3390/en10101468

M3 - Journal articles

AN - SCOPUS:85044376390

VL - 10

JO - Energies

JF - Energies

SN - 1996-1073

IS - 10

M1 - 1468

ER -