Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand: Evidence from Aruba
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in: Tourism Management, Jahrgang 41, 04.2014, S. 245-256.
Publikation: Beiträge in Zeitschriften › Zeitschriftenaufsätze › Forschung › begutachtet
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand
T2 - Evidence from Aruba
AU - Ridderstaat, Jorge
AU - Oduber, Marck
AU - Croes, Robertico
AU - Nijkamp, Peter
AU - Martens, Pim
PY - 2014/4
Y1 - 2014/4
N2 - This study estimates the effect of seasonal patterns of pull and push climate elements (rainfall, temperature, wind, and cloud coverage) on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand from the United States (USA) and Venezuela to Aruba. The seasonal patterns were first isolated from the series using the Census X-12 decomposition method, after which the analysis included panel data unit root testing, panel data regression, and Euclidean distance calculation. The results show that both pull and push seasonal factors of climate were relevant in determining the seasonal variations in tourism demand from both countries. The study derives two theoretical propositions: (1) climate is a significant push and pull factor affecting tourism demand; and (2) tourism demand and climate are bounded by intertemporal climate constraints.
AB - This study estimates the effect of seasonal patterns of pull and push climate elements (rainfall, temperature, wind, and cloud coverage) on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand from the United States (USA) and Venezuela to Aruba. The seasonal patterns were first isolated from the series using the Census X-12 decomposition method, after which the analysis included panel data unit root testing, panel data regression, and Euclidean distance calculation. The results show that both pull and push seasonal factors of climate were relevant in determining the seasonal variations in tourism demand from both countries. The study derives two theoretical propositions: (1) climate is a significant push and pull factor affecting tourism demand; and (2) tourism demand and climate are bounded by intertemporal climate constraints.
KW - Sustainability Science
KW - Aruba
KW - Climate
KW - Panel regression
KW - Seasonality
KW - Small island
KW - Tourism demand
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84886773663&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.tourman.2013.09.005
DO - 10.1016/j.tourman.2013.09.005
M3 - Journal articles
AN - SCOPUS:84886773663
VL - 41
SP - 245
EP - 256
JO - Tourism Management
JF - Tourism Management
SN - 0261-5177
ER -