Treasuries variance decomposition and the impact of monetary policy
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Authors
This paper investigates the effect of monetary policy shifts on Treasuries over the last three decades. We decompose unexpected excess returns on 2-, 5-, and 10-year Treasuries in three components related to revisions in expectations (news) about future excess returns, inflation, and real interest rates. We evaluate the impact of conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks on returns and their components. Our results indicate that expansionary monetary policy shocks are associated with declining inflation expectations and higher Treasuries' returns.
Original language | English |
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Journal | International Journal of Finance and Economics |
Volume | 24 |
Issue number | 4 |
Pages (from-to) | 1506-1519 |
Number of pages | 14 |
ISSN | 1076-9307 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 01.10.2019 |
Externally published | Yes |
- Economics - bond market variance decomposition, financial crisis, monetary policy