Mitigation of methane emissions: a rapid and cost-effective response to climate change

Research output: Working paperWorking papers

Authors

Methane is a major anthropogenic greenhouse gas, second only to carbon dioxide (CO2) in its impact on climate change. Methane (CH4) has a high global warming potential that is 25 times as large as the one of CO2 on a 100 year time horizon according to the latest IPCC report. Thus, CH4 contributes significantly to anthropogenic radiative forcing, although it has a relatively short atmospheric perturbation lifetime of 12 years. CH4 has a variety of sources that can be small, geographically dispersed, and not related to energy sectors. In this report, we analyze methane emission abatement options in five different sectors and identify economic mitigation potentials for different CO2 prices. While mitigation potentials are generally large, there are substantial potentials at low marginal abatement costs. Drawing on different assumptions on the social costs of carbon, we calculate benefit/cost ratios for different sectors and mitigation levels. We recommend an economically efficient global methane mitigation portfolio for the year 2020 that includes the sectors of livestock and manure, rice management, solid waste, coal mine methane and natural gas. Depending on assumptions of social costs of carbon, this portfolio leads to global CH4 mitigation levels of 1.5 or 1.9 GtCO2-eq at overall costs of around $14 billion or $30 billion and benefit/cost ratios of 1.4 and 3.0, respectively. We also develop an economically less efficient alternative portfolio that excludes cost-effective agricultural mitigation options. It leads to comparable abatement levels, but has higher costs and lower benefit/cost ratios. If the global community wanted to spend an even larger amount of money - say, $250 billion - on methane mitigation, much larger mitigation potentials could be realized, even such with very high marginal abatement costs. Nonetheless, this approach would be economically inefficient. If the global community wanted to spend such an amount, we recommend spreading the effort cost-effectively over different greenhouse gases. While methane mitigation alone will not suffice to solve the climate problem, it is a vital part of a cost-effective climate policy. Due to the short atmospheric lifetime, CH4 emission reductions have a rapid effect. Methane mitigation is indispensable for realizing ambitious emission scenarios like IPCC's B1, which leads to a global temperature increase of less than 2C by the year 2100. Policy makers should put more emphasis on methane mitigation and aim for realizing low-cost methane mitigation potentials by providing information to all relevant actors and by developing appropriate regulatory and market frameworks. We also recommend including methane in emissions trading schemes.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationBerlin
PublisherDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
Number of pages34
Publication statusPublished - 2009
Externally publishedYes

    Research areas

  • Economics - Methane, mitigation, climate change, cost-benefit analysis, Alkane, Luftreinhaltung, Klimaschutz, Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse, Welt

Links

Recently viewed

Researchers

  1. Steve Janner

Publications

  1. Bildungsstandards ja - aber wie?
  2. Where Are the Organizations? Accounting for the Fluidity and Ambiguity of Organizing in the Arts
  3. Changing the Rules
  4. Österreich Tourismus vor Weichenstellung: Stagnation oder Wachstum?
  5. Accounting for Information Infrastructure as Medium for Organisational Change
  6. Cultural Policies and Local Planning Strategies
  7. Introduction: Perspectives on Democracy
  8. Machen Urlaubsreisen glücklich?
  9. Readings in applied organizational behavior from the Lüneburg Symposium
  10. When back of pack meets front of pack
  11. A modified epitope identified for generation and monitoring of PSA-specific T cells in patients on early phases of PSA-based immunotherapeutic protocols
  12. De-hierarchization, trans-linearity and intersubjective participation in ethnographic research through interactive media representations: www.laviedurail.net
  13. Angsthasen
  14. Anstand
  15. Modelling ammonia losses after field application of biogas slurry in energy crop rotations
  16. Das Diktat des Hashtags
  17. Effects of weld line in deep drawing of tailor welded blanks of high strength steels
  18. Temporary Organizations
  19. Vergütung, variable
  20. Objects of Art after Duchamp
  21. Ora et labora (et lege)
  22. Transhumane Revolution
  23. Still want to Party?
  24. Lernen und Wiederlernen in chatbasiertem Computer-Supported Collaborative Learning
  25. Sustainability-Oriented Innovation in SMEs
  26. An IAD framework analysis of minigrid institutions for sustainable rural electrification in East Africa
  27. Do learner characteristics moderate the seductive-details-effect?
  28. Rainfall and temperature variation does not explain arid species diversity in outback Australia
  29. Digital ultraviolet therapy
  30. How Does Pre-Service Teachers’ Self-Efficacy Relate to the Fulfilment of Basic Psychological Needs During Teaching Practicum?