Impact assessment of emissions stabilization scenarios with and without induced technological change

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The main aim of this paper is to investigate quantitatively the economic impacts of emissions stabilization scenarios with and without the inclusion of induced technological change (ITC). Improved technological innovations are triggered by increased research and development (R&D) expenditures that advance energy efficiencies. Model results show that ITCs due to increased investment in R&D reduce compliance costs. Although R&D expenditures compete with other investment expenditures, we find that increased R&D expenditures improve energy efficiency, which substantially lowers abatement costs. Without the inclusion of ITC, emissions targets are primarily reached by declines in production, resulting in overall welfare reductions. With the inclusion of ITCs, emissions mitigation can result in fewer production and GDP drawbacks.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEnergy Policy
Volume35
Issue number11
Pages (from-to)5337-5345
Number of pages9
ISSN0301-4215
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01.11.2007
Externally publishedYes

    Research areas

  • Economics - Climate policy, Induced technological change, Integrated assessment

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