EURO-CORDEX: New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research

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EURO-CORDEX: New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research. / Jacob, Daniela; Petersen, Juliane; Eggert, Bastian et al.
In: Regional Environmental Change, Vol. 14, No. 2, 04.2014, p. 563-578.

Research output: Journal contributionsJournal articlesResearchpeer-review

Harvard

Jacob, D, Petersen, J, Eggert, B, Alias, A, Christensen, OB, Bouwer, LM, Braun, A, Colette, A, Déqué, M, Georgievski, G, Georgopoulou, E, Gobiet, A, Menut, L, Nikulin, G, Haensler, A, Hempelmann, N, Jones, C, Keuler, K, Kovats, S, Kröner, N, Kotlarski, S, Kriegsmann, A, Martin, E, van Meijgaard, E, Moseley, C, Pfeifer, S, Preuschmann, S, Radermacher, C, Radtke, K, Rechid, D, Rounsevell, M, Samuelsson, P, Somot, S, Soussana, JF, Teichmann, C, Valentini, R, Vautard, R, Weber, B & Yiou, P 2014, 'EURO-CORDEX: New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research', Regional Environmental Change, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 563-578. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2

APA

Jacob, D., Petersen, J., Eggert, B., Alias, A., Christensen, O. B., Bouwer, L. M., Braun, A., Colette, A., Déqué, M., Georgievski, G., Georgopoulou, E., Gobiet, A., Menut, L., Nikulin, G., Haensler, A., Hempelmann, N., Jones, C., Keuler, K., Kovats, S., ... Yiou, P. (2014). EURO-CORDEX: New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research. Regional Environmental Change, 14(2), 563-578. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2

Vancouver

Jacob D, Petersen J, Eggert B, Alias A, Christensen OB, Bouwer LM et al. EURO-CORDEX: New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research. Regional Environmental Change. 2014 Apr;14(2):563-578. doi: 10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2

Bibtex

@article{e0dad3e835d045d597aabbadd2d49d8c,
title = "EURO-CORDEX: New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research",
abstract = "A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communities active in regional climate modelling, impact assessment and adaptation. The EURO-CORDEX ensemble results have been compared to the SRES A1B simulation results achieved within the ENSEMBLES project. The large-scale patterns of changes in mean temperature and precipitation are similar in all three scenarios, but they differ in regional details, which can partly be related to the higher resolution in EURO-CORDEX. The results strengthen those obtained in ENSEMBLES, but need further investigations. The analysis of impact indices shows that for RCP8.5, there is a substantially larger change projected for temperature-based indices than for RCP4.5. The difference is less pronounced for precipitation-based indices. Two effects of the increased resolution can be regarded as an added value of regional climate simulations. Regional climate model simulations provide higher daily precipitation intensities, which are completely missing in the global climate model simulations, and they provide a significantly different climate change of daily precipitation intensities resulting in a smoother shift from weak to moderate and high intensities.",
keywords = "Dry spells, EURO-CORDEX, Heat wave, Heavy precipitation, Impact indices, Regional climate change, Environmental Governance",
author = "Daniela Jacob and Juliane Petersen and Bastian Eggert and Antoinette Alias and Christensen, {Ole B{\o}ssing} and Bouwer, {Laurens M.} and Alain Braun and Augustin Colette and Michel D{\'e}qu{\'e} and Goran Georgievski and Elena Georgopoulou and Andreas Gobiet and Laurent Menut and Grigory Nikulin and Andreas Haensler and Nils Hempelmann and Colin Jones and Klaus Keuler and Sari Kovats and Nico Kr{\"o}ner and Sven Kotlarski and Arne Kriegsmann and Eric Martin and {van Meijgaard}, Erik and Christopher Moseley and Susanne Pfeifer and Swantje Preuschmann and Christine Radermacher and Kai Radtke and Diana Rechid and Mark Rounsevell and Patrick Samuelsson and Samuel Somot and Soussana, {Jean Francois} and Claas Teichmann and Riccardo Valentini and Robert Vautard and Bj{\"o}rn Weber and Pascal Yiou",
year = "2014",
month = apr,
doi = "10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2",
language = "English",
volume = "14",
pages = "563--578",
journal = "Regional Environmental Change",
issn = "1436-3798",
publisher = "Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH",
number = "2",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - EURO-CORDEX

T2 - New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research

AU - Jacob, Daniela

AU - Petersen, Juliane

AU - Eggert, Bastian

AU - Alias, Antoinette

AU - Christensen, Ole Bøssing

AU - Bouwer, Laurens M.

AU - Braun, Alain

AU - Colette, Augustin

AU - Déqué, Michel

AU - Georgievski, Goran

AU - Georgopoulou, Elena

AU - Gobiet, Andreas

AU - Menut, Laurent

AU - Nikulin, Grigory

AU - Haensler, Andreas

AU - Hempelmann, Nils

AU - Jones, Colin

AU - Keuler, Klaus

AU - Kovats, Sari

AU - Kröner, Nico

AU - Kotlarski, Sven

AU - Kriegsmann, Arne

AU - Martin, Eric

AU - van Meijgaard, Erik

AU - Moseley, Christopher

AU - Pfeifer, Susanne

AU - Preuschmann, Swantje

AU - Radermacher, Christine

AU - Radtke, Kai

AU - Rechid, Diana

AU - Rounsevell, Mark

AU - Samuelsson, Patrick

AU - Somot, Samuel

AU - Soussana, Jean Francois

AU - Teichmann, Claas

AU - Valentini, Riccardo

AU - Vautard, Robert

AU - Weber, Björn

AU - Yiou, Pascal

PY - 2014/4

Y1 - 2014/4

N2 - A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communities active in regional climate modelling, impact assessment and adaptation. The EURO-CORDEX ensemble results have been compared to the SRES A1B simulation results achieved within the ENSEMBLES project. The large-scale patterns of changes in mean temperature and precipitation are similar in all three scenarios, but they differ in regional details, which can partly be related to the higher resolution in EURO-CORDEX. The results strengthen those obtained in ENSEMBLES, but need further investigations. The analysis of impact indices shows that for RCP8.5, there is a substantially larger change projected for temperature-based indices than for RCP4.5. The difference is less pronounced for precipitation-based indices. Two effects of the increased resolution can be regarded as an added value of regional climate simulations. Regional climate model simulations provide higher daily precipitation intensities, which are completely missing in the global climate model simulations, and they provide a significantly different climate change of daily precipitation intensities resulting in a smoother shift from weak to moderate and high intensities.

AB - A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communities active in regional climate modelling, impact assessment and adaptation. The EURO-CORDEX ensemble results have been compared to the SRES A1B simulation results achieved within the ENSEMBLES project. The large-scale patterns of changes in mean temperature and precipitation are similar in all three scenarios, but they differ in regional details, which can partly be related to the higher resolution in EURO-CORDEX. The results strengthen those obtained in ENSEMBLES, but need further investigations. The analysis of impact indices shows that for RCP8.5, there is a substantially larger change projected for temperature-based indices than for RCP4.5. The difference is less pronounced for precipitation-based indices. Two effects of the increased resolution can be regarded as an added value of regional climate simulations. Regional climate model simulations provide higher daily precipitation intensities, which are completely missing in the global climate model simulations, and they provide a significantly different climate change of daily precipitation intensities resulting in a smoother shift from weak to moderate and high intensities.

KW - Dry spells

KW - EURO-CORDEX

KW - Heat wave

KW - Heavy precipitation

KW - Impact indices

KW - Regional climate change

KW - Environmental Governance

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84897025478&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2

DO - 10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2

M3 - Journal articles

AN - SCOPUS:84897025478

VL - 14

SP - 563

EP - 578

JO - Regional Environmental Change

JF - Regional Environmental Change

SN - 1436-3798

IS - 2

ER -