Anticipatory Action in River Flooding Risk Management in Nigeria: An Assessment of Community-Level Implementation

Research output: Journal contributionsJournal articlesResearchpeer-review

Authors

  • Dorcas Adewumi Olawuyi
  • Adeniyi Sulaiman Gbadegesin
  • Dickson ‘Dare Ajayi
  • Peter Oyedele
  • Daniel Geiger
  • Iris Seidemann
  • Pia Geisemann
  • Samantha Sansone
  • Fatimah Nasir
  • Oloche Percy Antenyi
  • Francis Salako
  • Judith Agada
  • Patience Adaje

Across the world, communities face annual and increasingly extreme flood events, yet there is a widespread lack of proactive preparedness. This failure to anticipate and mitigate flood risks deepens the damages experienced, stalling development, undermining environmental sustainability, and driving many communities deeper into poverty. Anticipatory action has emerged as a proactive strategy in river flood risk management, aiming to reduce vulnerabilities and enhance community resilience before disasters strike. This study assesses the implementation of anticipatory action strategies in Nigeria by building on qualitative data to assess community vulnerabilities and capacities. Findings indicate that over 70% of the total number of respondents in the selected nine communities in Nigeria lacked access to timely early warnings, and more than half viewed floods as unavoidable, reducing their engagement in long-term resilience planning. Communities demonstrated a stronger preference for short-term relief over proactive preparedness for disasters. Findings reveal a convergence of structural and behavioral vulnerabilities within the population. This highlights the study's contribution by connecting behavioral insights with anticipatory frameworks in high-risk communities. The study shows that there is a clear need for community-driven approaches that combine anticipatory action with economic support, sustained engagement, and other adaptive measures. By closing both behavioral and structural gaps, more effective anticipatory action policies can be institutionalized.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere70117
JournalJournal of Flood Risk Management
Volume18
Issue number4
Number of pages12
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 12.2025
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Author(s). Journal of Flood Risk Management published by Chartered Institution of Water and Environmental Management and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

    Research areas

  • anticipatory action, community engagement, enhanced vulnerability and capacity assessment, resilience building, river flood risk management
  • Management studies

DOI