Lingering illness or sudden death? Pre-exit employment developments in German establishments
Publikation: Beiträge in Zeitschriften › Zeitschriftenaufsätze › Forschung › begutachtet
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in: Industrial and Corporate Change, Jahrgang 23, Nr. 4, 08.2014, S. 1121-1140.
Publikation: Beiträge in Zeitschriften › Zeitschriftenaufsätze › Forschung › begutachtet
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Lingering illness or sudden death? Pre-exit employment developments in German establishments
AU - Wagner, Joachim
AU - Schnabel, Claus
AU - Fackler, Daniel
PY - 2014/8
Y1 - 2014/8
N2 - Using a large administrative data set for Germany, this article compares employment developments in exiting and surviving establishments. Applying a matching approach, we find a clear "shadow of death" effect reflecting lingering illness: in both West and East Germany establishments shrink dramatically already several years before closure, employment growth rates differ strongly between exiting and surviving establishments, and this difference becomes stronger as exit approaches. Moreover, we provide first evidence that prior to exit the workforce becomes on average more skilled, more female, and older in exiting compared to surviving establishments. These effects are more clearly visible in West than in East Germany.
AB - Using a large administrative data set for Germany, this article compares employment developments in exiting and surviving establishments. Applying a matching approach, we find a clear "shadow of death" effect reflecting lingering illness: in both West and East Germany establishments shrink dramatically already several years before closure, employment growth rates differ strongly between exiting and surviving establishments, and this difference becomes stronger as exit approaches. Moreover, we provide first evidence that prior to exit the workforce becomes on average more skilled, more female, and older in exiting compared to surviving establishments. These effects are more clearly visible in West than in East Germany.
KW - Economics
KW - employment
KW - growth rate
KW - skilled labor
KW - working conditions
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84904891070&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1093/icc/dtt041
DO - 10.1093/icc/dtt041
M3 - Journal articles
VL - 23
SP - 1121
EP - 1140
JO - Industrial and Corporate Change
JF - Industrial and Corporate Change
SN - 0960-6491
IS - 4
ER -